West Ham host Leeds on the final day of the Premier League season in a match that could decide the Hammers’ top-flight future. With survival no longer in their own hands, West Ham must win and hope results elsewhere go their way if they are to avoid relegation.

Leeds, meanwhile, arrive in London with safety already secured after a strong unbeaten run. The Whites have improved defensively in recent weeks, but their away record remains far from convincing. With West Ham forced to attack and Leeds capable of exploiting space on the break, this fixture has the profile of a competitive, goal-scoring contest.

The best betting tips today for this match are Over 1.5 goals, BTTS Yes, Draw, and a 1-1 correct score prediction.

Match News and Current Form

West Ham enter the final day two points from safety and with a significantly weaker goal difference than 17th-placed Tottenham. That means only a win gives them a realistic chance of staying in the Premier League.

Nuno Espírito Santo’s side have fallen into serious danger after a damaging run of three straight league defeats, including a 3-1 loss to Newcastle last weekend. It is their worst league run since 2022 and has left the London Stadium crowd facing a nervous final afternoon.

There are still reasons for optimism. West Ham have lost just one of their last seven home league matches, winning three and drawing three. Their five home league victories this season have also come against teams starting the final round below ninth place, which should give the Hammers belief that they can compete strongly here.

Leeds come into this fixture in much better shape. Daniel Farke’s men are unbeaten in eight Premier League matches, winning four and drawing four, which is their longest top-flight unbeaten run since 2001. That run has pulled them away from the relegation battle and allowed them to approach the final day with far less pressure.

Their improvement has been built on defensive discipline. Only champions Arsenal have conceded fewer goals than Leeds during this eight-game unbeaten run. However, their away form remains a concern, with just two league wins on the road this season.

Team News

West Ham are expected to be without Adama Traoré, who has missed the last two matches and is unlikely to return in time for this fixture. His absence reduces West Ham’s direct attacking threat, especially in transition.

Leeds are unlikely to risk Anton Stach after he picked up an injury against Brighton. Brenden Aaronson was also withdrawn early in that match and will need to be assessed before kick-off.

For the latest confirmed team news and starting lineups, check the official match centre before the game.

Head-to-Head Record

Leeds have had the upper hand in recent meetings this season, beating West Ham on penalties in the FA Cup quarter-finals at the London Stadium before also winning the reverse league fixture 2-1 in October.

Before those results, West Ham had lost only one of the previous six league meetings, winning four and drawing one. The Hammers also scored at least twice in each of those six league matches, which suggests they have historically found ways to create chances in this fixture.

Hot Stats and Streaks

• West Ham have led at half-time in only one of their last 12 league matches.
• West Ham have conceded a league-high 228 corners this season.
• West Ham have lost just one of their last seven home league games.
• Leeds are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League matches.
• Only the top two have conceded fewer first-half goals than Leeds this season.
• Leeds have kept just two away clean sheets in the league this term.
• Twelve of Leeds’ 18 away league matches have seen both teams score.

Key Players to Watch

Jarrod Bowen remains West Ham’s most important attacking outlet. Although he has gone 13 Premier League matches without scoring, he has assisted eight of West Ham’s last 12 league goals. His creativity from wide areas could be vital as the Hammers chase the win they desperately need.

For Leeds, Karl Darlow could be decisive. The goalkeeper has recorded the highest save percentage in the Premier League this season, making 58 saves across 21 appearances. If West Ham dominate territory and shots, Darlow’s performance may determine whether Leeds leave London with a result.

West Ham vs Leeds Betting Tips Today

• Over 1.5 Goals
• Both Teams to Score: Yes
• Draw
• Correct Score Prediction: West Ham 1-1 Leeds

Betting Analysis

West Ham have no choice but to push forward, and that should create enough attacking momentum for Over 1.5 goals to be a strong betting angle. Their survival hopes depend on victory, so they cannot afford to sit back for long periods.

However, that urgency could also leave gaps for Leeds to exploit. The Whites have scored enough in recent away matches to be dangerous, while 12 of their 18 away league fixtures this season have seen both teams score. That makes BTTS Yes one of the most appealing selections.

The draw also looks realistic. West Ham’s home form has improved, but their recent losing run and defensive issues make them difficult to trust for a win. Leeds are unbeaten in eight, but their away record suggests they may not have enough to dominate the match.

A 1-1 correct score prediction fits the overall pattern: West Ham pressing for survival, Leeds remaining organised, and both sides finding the net without either doing enough to take all three points.

Special Draw Prediction Guide

For more football previews, correct score analysis and betting tips today, visit our Draw Prediction category for the latest draw predictions, 1-1 correct score tips and Premier League betting insights.