Real Madrid must bounce back quickly from their UEFA Champions League disappointment as they return to La Liga action with their title hopes hanging by a thread. Standing in their way are Deportivo Alavés, who are fighting hard to avoid relegation and could prove dangerous opponents.

Madrid’s recent domestic form has dipped at the worst possible time, with no wins in April so far. However, their dominance at the Santiago Bernabéu remains a major advantage, with seven wins in their last nine home league matches.

Alavés, on the other hand, are showing resilience. They are unbeaten in four league games and have been surprisingly effective in attack on the road, scoring at least twice in their last three away fixtures. That attacking confidence could make this encounter more open than expected.

Current Form & Key Stats

Real Madrid Form

• No La Liga win in April (D1, L1)
• Conceded in last 8 consecutive league games
• Won 7 of last 9 home matches

Alavés Form

• Unbeaten in last 4 matches
• Scored 2+ goals in last 3 away games
• Just 1 point above relegation zone

Head-to-Head (H2H)

• Real Madrid have won the last 8 meetings
• Alavés have lost 17 of last 19 away games vs Madrid
• Madrid dominance in this fixture is overwhelming

Hot Stats

• Madrid have conceded in 8 straight La Liga matches
• Alavés’ last 5 games saw BTTS land
• Madrid scored in every home game this season
• Alavés often concede first away from home

Key Players to Watch

• Vinícius Júnior – deadly in the second half, thrives at home
• Ibrahim Diabate – early goal threat for Alavés

Betting Tips (High Confidence Picks)

✅ Over 3.5 Goals
✅ BTTS – Yes
✅ Real Madrid to Win

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 3-1 Alavés

Betting Insight

This game has all the signs of a high-scoring encounter. Madrid’s defensive struggles combined with Alavés’ improved attacking output strongly point toward goals on both sides.

However, Madrid’s superior quality, home advantage, and dominance in this fixture should ultimately see them come out on top.

Final Verdict

• Expect goals ✔
• Expect both teams to score ✔
• Expect Madrid to bounce back ✔

Best Pick: Over 3.5 Goals + BTTS Yes + Real Madrid Win

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